Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.341202 0.374711 0.411248 0.454249 0.503741 0.559236 0.626621
2025-02-16 0.296872 0.339263 0.388167 0.449370 0.524802 0.615917 0.736175
2025-02-23 0.259801 0.305534 0.360514 0.432580 0.526251 0.646384 0.816437
2025-03-02 0.230441 0.277137 0.335131 0.414039 0.521219 0.665877 0.883691
2025-03-09 0.214813 0.263881 0.326748 0.415462 0.541382 0.720468 1.008391
2025-03-16 0.205809 0.257977 0.326847 0.427567 0.576968 0.801222 1.187884
2025-03-23 0.195924 0.249828 0.322836 0.432979 0.602892 0.870809 1.364361
2025-03-30 0.186204 0.240979 0.316842 0.434487 0.622511 0.932796 1.541737
2025-04-06 0.176500 0.231339 0.308767 0.431765 0.634627 0.983544 1.710174
2025-04-13 0.164073 0.216966 0.292660 0.414979 0.621336 0.987185 1.783865
2025-04-20 0.157825 0.211085 0.288642 0.416785 0.639508 1.050749 2.003098
2025-04-27 0.151932 0.205317 0.284304 0.417522 0.655649 1.112810 2.237971
2025-05-04 0.145115 0.197975 0.277343 0.413798 0.664255 1.163485 2.468807
2025-05-11 0.140068 0.192997 0.273709 0.415332 0.682804 1.238412 2.794477
2025-05-18 0.132644 0.183971 0.263045 0.403701 0.674527 1.253328 2.955346
2025-05-25 0.125143 0.174468 0.251077 0.388836 0.658231 1.247443 3.051823
2025-06-01 0.121686 0.171107 0.248907 0.391374 0.677386 1.328295 3.469829
2025-06-08 0.120260 0.170846 0.251780 0.403298 0.717494 1.469301 4.187582
2025-06-15 0.117733 0.168672 0.251268 0.408779 0.744486 1.583449 4.888051
2025-06-22 0.114713 0.165538 0.248910 0.410472 0.763249 1.680042 5.593410
2025-06-29 0.111219 0.161465 0.244683 0.408139 0.772460 1.751838 6.245489
2025-07-06 0.105833 0.154051 0.234248 0.392709 0.749132 1.721962 6.336858
2025-07-13 0.103460 0.151562 0.232393 0.394447 0.767249 1.824199 7.287572